Race Weekend Central

The Big 6: Questions Answered After the 2016 Bank of America 500

Who… gets my shoutout of the race?

There was a time when losing a lap for an unscheduled pit stop and a pit road penalty would have meant a meltdown from Kyle Busch.  But that time is past, and those problems, along with a piece of an 11-car pileup and subsequent repairs, didn’t rattle Busch, who went on to finish sixth.  That change in mentality has been the key to Busch’s 2015 title and his solid defense of it so far this season. It’s never been a question of talent for Busch, but for a long time, he was his own worst enemy.  Those days are now behind him, and Busch looks poised to make a run at Jimmie Johnson on the career win tally.

What… is the takeaway from this race?

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Could Jimmie Johnson be the new favorite to win the title? (Photo: Zach Catanzareti)

Is there a paradigm shift going on in the Cup Series as the Chase enters the homestretch?  Hendrick Motorsports, a perennial juggernaut that stumbled so badly through most of 2016 that it was hard to take any of its drivers seriously as a title contender, suddenly made a statement with a dominant win at the track that’s just up the street from the team’s shop.

What’s even more telling is that Hendrick Motorsports as a whole looked stronger at Charlotte than they have in a long time.  Alex Bowman had a lightning-fast qualifying run, edged out for the pole only by Kevin Harvick, who also runs Hendrick equipment.  Chase Elliott looked like he was the only driver with something for Johnson for much of the day. (Bowman and Elliott both crashed, but Bowman’s wreck was due to a tire failure and Elliott was turned by Kyle Busch in a multi-car melee.) Kasey Kahne? He finished third with a late charge. Kurt Busch, Tony Stewart and Danica Patrick all finished 11th or better.

The Joe Gibbs Racing cars were also strong on Sunday, in particular the No. 20 of Matt Kenseth, who overcame penalties and came from the back of the field twice to finish second, but for the first time all season, there was an organization that looked like it could go toe to toe with JGR and not blink. With six races left, what looked like a lock suddenly doesn’t look like such a sure thing. Is there blood in the water?

Where… did the pole-sitter and the defending race winner wind up?

Kevin Harvick edged Alex Bowman for the pole at Charlotte, with what appeared to be exactly the right time for the 2014 series champion.  Harvick won at Loudon to secure a spot in the round of 12 in the Chase, but finds himself in jeopardy of missing the next cut leaving NASCAR’s  home track after engine problems sent him behind the wall just before the halfway point, leaving him with a 38th-place finish. What may save Harvick in the end was a multi-car crash with 80 to go that saw several other Chase teams involved.  It means Harvick may not need a win to advance if he can score top fives at both Kansas and Talladega.

Joey Logano won this race a year ago with a move that incurred Matt Kenseth’s ire, but he was too busy fighting tire woes Sunday to worry about anyone else.  Logano had both front tires go down in two separate incidents.  He slapped the wall hard both times, with the second hit causing extensive to the No. 22 and sending Logano to the garage for an extended amount of time. He got back on track but lost so many laps making repairs that he couldn’t get above 36th at the end.

When… did it all go sideways?

Just when everyone was looking at Talladega to shake things up, Charlotte was brutal to the title contenders. More than half of the 12 drivers still in title contention ran into trouble.  A pair of tire failures (notable in that they were not the same tire) got Joey Logano.  An oil pump failure caused Kevin Harvick’s engine to expire. Hamlin’s engine couldn’t go the distance either.

But what really changed the day was a multi-car crash that would make Daytona proud. On a lap 259 restart, Austin Dillon didn’t get up to speed and got turned by Martin Truex, Jr. Chase Elliott checked up and got turned by Kyle Busch and it was on. Truex avoided damage, and Busch’s team was able to fix his car, but Dillon and Elliott were done for the day.  Also involved were Chasers Kurt Busch and Carl Edwards, both of whom were able to continue.  The crash did little to alter the results. Jimmie Johnson had the field covered, but it did alter the complexion of both the race and the Chase as the title hunt nears the halfway point.

Why… did Jimmie Johnson win the race?

Johnson dominated in a way you’d have expected from him a decade ago.  Once almost a shoo-in at Charlotte, Johnson’s fortune dried up after the track was resurfaced several years ago. But Sunday, he looked like the Jimmie Johnson who won five straight titles from 2006-2010 and made himself a real contender for the first time since the Chase format changed (some say to stop his dominance under the old formula) two years ago.

Johnson has found speed at the best possible time for a seventh title run, leading 155 laps en route to the 78th checkered flag of the career that started in this race 15 years ago. Add to that mix that Johnson is a bulldog when he can be near the top, and suddenly his hopes for a seventh title, which were dimming, have brightened considerably.

How… big a deal is today’s race to the Chase drivers?

Well, to Johnson, it’s a very big deal, because Talladega is a huge wild card in this round and the win guarantees him passage through that strange land, where it’s always been feast or famine for Johnson. But for the drivers who suffered damage or other problems?  Well, it might not be so bad also because Talladega looms large. That race is such a crapshoot that, provided a team can stop the bleeding at Kansas next week, a bad race at ‘Dega for someone else can put someone back in the running if they can get a good finish there.  In the first round, a poor finish at Chicagoland was nearly insurmountable…but this time around it might not be so. What it may actually come down to is Kansas, and who can be strong enough there to come out of Talladega in position to move on.

About the author

Amy is an 20-year veteran NASCAR writer and a six-time National Motorsports Press Association (NMPA) writing award winner, including first place awards for both columns and race coverage. As well as serving as Photo Editor, Amy writes The Big 6 (Mondays) after every NASCAR Cup Series race. She can also be found working on her bi-weekly columns Holding A Pretty Wheel (Tuesdays) and Only Yesterday (Wednesdays). A New Hampshire native whose heart is in North Carolina, Amy’s work credits have extended everywhere from driver Kenny Wallace’s website to Athlon Sports. She can also be heard weekly as a panelist on the Hard Left Turn podcast that can be found on AccessWDUN.com's Around the Track page.

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Echo

Hey Amy. Check out Austin Dillons radio chatter in the xfinity race. He pitted at the end to try to get his brother in the Chase but only could gain him one spot. He pitted, supposedly” for a lug nut left off the left rear. Really fishy for sure. Reminded me of the Bowyer scandal with MWR, where Clint spun on purpose and Vickers was ordered to pit. Exactly the same for Dillon yesterday, he tried to fix the race to get his brother Ty in the chase going forward. Sure glad it didn’t work. Ty has won exactly ONE xfinity race in 3 years running it and Austin won his xfinity championships with zero wins that year. Austin has yet to win a cup race in his 3rd year running it.

Echo

Good article once again Amy. Always good to read yours. HMS has had new found speed in all 4 chase races this year, in all the cars. Only reason they haven’t won till now is Jimmie or the team kept messing up. Did you hear Kenseth admit he had no chance against Jimmie on the last restart because Jimmie had way to much speed. and Kyle Busch noticed they are all bringing brand new cars to the chase. Jimmie goes for seven, unless a hothead decides to take him out at Homestead.

Echo

Nobody is commenting on Stewart Haas Racing switching to Fords next year. Harvick or Kurt better get a championship this year because it will take the rest of both of thems career for SHR to get up to speed in Fords. It won’t be easy for them and Penske will NOT help them for sure.

Ken

I’m still a little foggy on this move of SHR going from Chevrolet to Ford. I remember when Saint Gibbs announced his switch from Chevrolet to Toyota, The Chevrolet executives went out of their way, set up a team with Hendrick affiliation, and paid big bucks to get Stewart out of his contract with the bible-thumper Gibbs. Then, out of nowhere, back in March, Tony announces the manufacturer switch, saying it was a business deal, and not a single word from Chevrolet, other that “We wish you luck”. What really happened to make SHR switch to Ford? What changed in SHR’s relationship with Chevrolet and Hendrick? How much did Ford pay that Chevrolet just said good-bye? Something is odd here for sure!

And did anyone notice that Princess Sparkle Pony finished 11th? Is she waking up to the fact that she might not be in a ride after 2017? What happened to the learning curve? She has had five years to improve. In the equipment she has, she should of had ten wins by now. Even most of the media, except for Pockrass at ESPN, and the writers at FOX Sports, have stopped paying attention. Then there was Tony’s comments back at Pocono in August, praising Chris Buescher, saying he has talent, and does the best with what equipment he has. Could we see Buescher in the 10 car in 2018? I wonder!

Bill B

No Ken, I think Danica just had things go her way for once. The car unloaded decent from the start and they didn’t have to dial it in. She missed the wrecks and didn’t make any mistakes. I give her credit though, this is the first race I can remember where she stayed on the lead lap without any wave around or lucky dog.

rg72

Looking at the race recap, she received the lucky dog on the 5th caution, for debris. I’m also thinking she was one of the 54 cars that took the wave around for one of the Logano cautions.
In fairness, the shoutout driver also benefited from a lucky dog.

Bill B

LOL @ “54 cars that took the wave around”. It seems like that every week doesn’t it?

Well I was going to say that I must not have been paying attention as I had 3 tvs going and was watching the race, the ravens vs redskins game, and the steelers vs browns game as well. Then I remembered, none of the announcers really kept us up with who was taking the wave around and lucky dog on some of those cautions (they rarely do), they were too busy letting us know what the chase points would look like if the race ended now (on lap 57, 86, 125, 164, etc,). So maybe I spoke too soon and Danica ran about the same as she always does but things just worked out her way.

Sometimes I think they purposely don’t mention the wave around cars because they know how much it irks so many of we fans.

SmarterThanYou

Giving credit where it’s due, Amy! Kyle Busch did a masterful job of racing to a 6th place finish after a tire problem, two pit road penalties and front-end damage from the wreck caused by over-aggressive driving by Martin Truex. (Truex admitted it was his fault.) The thing about points racing is not where you finish, but how you finish in comparison to your competition. So, 5 drivers finishing 30th or worse means no one is in terrible trouble going to Kansas. Plus Dega as a wild card should make for interesting racing even for the Chase-format haters.

Bill B

“Plus Dega as a wild card should make for interesting racing even for the Chase-format haters.”

I guess you don’t get it (or was that sarcasm?). The thing that most people hate about the chase is the fact that it is a crapshoot. I don’t see how adding a crapshoot restrictor plate race helps that. Yes, it may be interesting (like a reality television show or watching a train wreck) but a sport and true sport fan shouldn’t need those gimmicks to make them want to watch and having mayhem and lots of drama isn’t really necessarily the definition of “racing”.

salb

Yes Echo, this format can lend itself to ‘fiddling’ from outside sources, can’t it?

DoninAjax

Why is it that when Elliot spins out he gets hit by Ryan?

Dan

Or why is it that Elliot seems to spin out in front of Blaney? ?

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