Race Weekend Central

Daily Fantasy NASCAR Forecast Powered By DraftKings: Brickyard 400 Preview

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the Brantley Gilbert Big Machine Brickyard 400 this Sunday at 2:30 p.m. Your latest daily fantasy NASCAR showdown sees cars hit the track on Saturday at 9 a.m. for first practice, and then at 6:15 p.m. for Coors Light Pole Qualifying.

Here are eight drivers to look out for during the upcoming race weekend.

This week’s fantasy forecast is backed by DraftKings, the No. 1 platform for daily fantasy sports. You can jump in on all of the daily fantasy NASCAR action at Indianapolis this weekend by signing up here for a free entry into one of this weekend’s contests. All you have to do is make a $5 deposit to get started! 

ELITE TIER: $9,500 and up

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,600)

Indianapolis: 12 starts, one top five (8.3%), three top 10s (25%)
Average finish at Indy: 18.3

Truex once again dominated most of the race last weekend at New Hampshire. He was well out in front of the field for much of the day until a late caution stacked the field up. A poor restart with a little over 30 laps to go was the only reason the No. 78 team lost out on another win. He still managed a third-place finish and was one of the top scorers on DraftKings.

Truex has two straight top-10 finishes in the Brickyard 400, and another is to be expected. He should be the first driver looked at when creating a DraftKings lineup.

Kyle Busch ($10,500)

Indianapolis: 12 starts, two wins, five top fives (41.7%), 10 top 10s (83.3%)
Average finish at Indy: 9.0

Busch cost himself a shot at his first win of the season with two pit road speeding penalties in the final stage of the race at New Hampshire. But even with a 12th-place finish, he gained enough points to be in the winning DraftKings lineup on Sunday.

When people think of the Brickyard 400, they think of how dominant Busch has been over his career. He has an average finish of 9.0 in his 12 races run at the track. He has won the past two events, leading 149 of the 170 laps in 2016.

Busch’s growing frustration with the team’s performance has been a big storyline throughout the year. Indianapolis has a strong chance of snapping the winless streak and turning around his season.

Kyle Larson ($10,200)

Indianapolis: Three starts, one top five, three top 10s
Average finish at Indy: 7.0

Larson has had to start in the back of the pack for two weeks in a row now and yet still managed consecutive second-place finishes. The No. 42 team is having trouble passing through tech during qualifying, which has led to disqualification and a last-place starting spot.

But the good thing about Larson is that he has proved that no matter where he starts, both car and driver perform well. That should translate to Indy, a track where Larson has finished inside the top 10 in all three career starts. There is no reason for that streak not to reach four in a row this weekend.

ALL-STAR TIER: $8,500 – $9,900

Joey Logano ($9,100)

Indianapolis: Eight starts, two top fives (25%), five top 10s (62.5%)
Average finish at Indy: 12.6

Logano is in a serious slump. His 37th-place finish at Loudon was his fifth result of 30th or worse this season. By comparison, Logano had four finishes of 30th or worse all of 2016. The No. 22 team just hasn’t had the speed that we are used to, putting them on the verge of missing the playoffs.

Luckily, Indianapolis has been a track where Logano has excelled. In the past four races, his worst finish was eighth place. Since joining Team Penske in 2013, his average finish here is 5.5, 7.1 positions better than his career average through eight total starts.

It is reasonable to be skeptical going forward with Logano. But if he shows good performance during practice this week, it should translate to the race. If he shows up with a top-10 car, make sure you add the No. 22 to your lineup.

Jamie McMurray ($8,700)

Jamie McMurray is a solid bet at Indianapolis. (photo: Barry Cantrell / NKP)

Indianapolis: 14 starts, one win, three top fives (21.4%), five top 10s (35.7%)
Average finish at Indy: 15.0

McMurray is on pace to put together his best season to date. While he has not notched a win, an average finishing position of 13.1 through 19 races is two positions better than his average last season and five positions better than his career. He also sits seventh in the regular season point standings.

For some reason, McMurray performs incredibly well at the crown jewel races. His seven wins have come at Daytona, Talladega, Charlotte, and Indianapolis. His lone win at Indy came back in 2010, but McMurray has still run well as of late. He has four straight top-20 finishes at the track.

With the success of his Chip Ganassi Racing teammate Larson as of late, McMurray may be worth the higher price tag. Again, he is a driver that will need some extra research into his practice speeds but the speed of the No. 42 team should rub off.

Clint Bowyer ($8,600)

Indianapolis: 11 starts, two top fives (18.2%), three top 10s (27.3%)
Average finish at Indy: 13.5

Bowyer recorded another top-10 finish last weekend at Loudon, bringing his total to eight on the year. Bowyer is on the brink of a playoff berth, but is still looking for that elusive win to lock him in.

His finish of 21st last season at Indy was the worst for Bowyer in 11 career attempts. He has an average finish of 13.5 with three top 10s, not too shabby considering his last few years of turmoil. His most recent top-10 finish was in 2015, running sixth with now-defunct Michael Waltrip Racing.

Stewart-Haas Racing as a whole has been on the uptick, which should continue this week. Look to Bowyer to lead the way.

BARGAIN TIER: $4,500 – $8,400

Daniel Suarez ($7,800)

Indianapolis: First career Indianapolis start

While he doesn’t yet have a Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race under his belt at Indy, Suarez has made two starts here in the XFINITY Series. In 2015, he finished third while in 2016, he finished seventh.

Suarez tied a career high sixth-place finish last weekend at New Hampshire, one of a handful of Toyotas that performed well at the Magic Mile. This rookie has been improving week by week and is finally at a place where he should be on the daily fantasy radar.

Paul Menard ($6,300)

Indianapolis: 10 starts, one win, one top five, two top 10s
Average finish at Indy: 18.9

Menard’s first and only career Cup Series win came at Indianapolis back in 2011, a pit strategy win when he fended off Jeff Gordon in the closing laps. Since then, Menard has finished inside the top 15 in four out of five Indy races (10th last season).

Menard has been a diamond in the rough recently in daily fantasy, aided by his third-place finish at Daytona three weeks ago. If he continues a recent streak of qualifying outside the top 20, it could give him a high ceiling when it comes to positive pass differential.

Pre-Qualifying Optimal Lineup:

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