The seventh edition of NASCAR’s Chase is upon us, and the vibe amongst garage insiders is that this year’s version won’t disappoint. With six, seven, maybe eight drivers with a realistic chance at taking home the hardware, more people than ever have stepped up and dared to say Jimmie Johnson‘s historic reign of dominance is over.
Or is it? Our experts have pored over all the data and have their yearly picks in order, hoping their crystal ball will help you find some answers on J.J. and the rest of the Chasers. Read below for the inside scoop from the writer you trust on who’s finishing where!
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Tom Bowles | Phil Allaway | Toni Montgomery | |
Title | Editor-In-Chief | Newsletter Editor | Senior Editor | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | Kevin Harvick | Kevin Harvick | |
2nd | Denny Hamlin | Jimmie Johnson | Kurt Busch | |
3rd | Tony Stewart | Denny Hamlin | Jeff Gordon | |
4th | Kyle Busch | Kyle Busch | Carl Edwards | |
5th | Kurt Busch | Jeff Burton | Greg Biffle | |
6th | Carl Edwards | Carl Edwards | Tony Stewart | |
7th | Kevin Harvick | Jeff Gordon | Clint Bowyer | |
8th | Jeff Burton | Tony Stewart | Kyle Busch | |
9th | Clint Bowyer | Clint Bowyer | Denny Hamlin | |
10th | Greg Biffle | Kurt Busch | Jimmie Johnson | |
11th | Jeff Gordon | Greg Biffle | Jeff Burton | |
12th | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Jeff Burton | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Juan Pablo Montoya | Jamie McMurray | Jamie McMurray | |
Why They Picked How They Did | As I said on SI.com, the reigning four-time champ leads the circuit with 1,083 laps led, has five victories in 26 races and charges into the postseason with back-to-back top-five finishes. Tell me again how he’s lost his mojo? I think Hamlin will make a race of it, but ultimately Joe Gibbs Racing will make that one crucial mistake they do every year. Biggest surprise: I expect Burton to make some noise, hang in the top three through halfway and be this year’s version of Cinderella. That’s where Juan Pablo was last year, but I think he’ll like this Chase better: I see his first ever oval track Cup win happening this fall. | I just do not think that Johnson’s going to get it done again this year. Granted, his form over the past couple of weeks has been excellent, but it’s way too early to just give him the title. Too many things can happen and Harvick’s been the model of consistency throughout the regular season. If NASCAR is to be believed, they’re not going to throw drivers in the penalty box for rubbing up against a Chaser like they might have been more willing to do in the past – keep that in mind. As a result, I’m only 35% sure of this order. The bottom two guys I think are just about locked in, but the other spots are all up for grabs. And look out for Edwards: if he can keep up that summer performance, it will go a long way in the points. Look for EGR teammates McMurray and Montoya to possibly steal one race apiece as well. | Why? ‘Cause Eeny Meenie says so. And it really liked Harvick — apparently it’s really hard to close your eyes, randomly move the mouse, and not land on the same guy over and over. Either that, or he really is supposed to win this deal. | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 9 of 12 | 8 of 12 | 7 of 12 |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Matt Taliaferro | Amy Henderson | Tony Lumbis | |
Title | Senior Editor | Senior Editor | Marketing Director | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | Denny Hamlin | Denny Hamlin | |
2nd | Kevin Harvick | Kevin Harvick | Jimmie Johnson | |
3rd | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | Carl Edwards | |
4th | Denny Hamlin | Kyle Busch | Kevin Harvick | |
5th | Tony Stewart | Tony Stewart | Tony Stewart | |
6th | Jeff Gordon | Jimmie Johnson | Kyle Busch | |
7th | Carl Edwards | Kurt Busch | Jeff Gordon | |
8th | Kurt Busch | Greg Biffle | Greg Biffle | |
9th | Jeff Burton | Carl Edwards | Jeff Burton | |
10th | Greg Biffle | Jeff Burton | Clint Bowyer | |
11th | Clint Bowyer | Clint Bowyer | Kurt Busch | |
12th | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Carl Edwards | Tony Stewart | Carl Edwards | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Juan Pablo Montoya | Jamie McMurray | Juan Pablo Montoya | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 10 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 9 of 12 | |
Why They Picked How They Did | Why: Why? Do I really have to explain? Johnson and Knaus have won it four years in a row and sure, that run has to come to an end at some point. However, no team in any sport has a playoff format figured out better than the No. 48 team has the Chase down. If you’re betting against them, it’s only to be different and that’s not a valid reason in my book. | Hamlin has been the Chase favorite since day one, and with Johnson mailing it in the past few weeks, there’s no reason to think that Hamlin won’t ride the wave of his sixth win all the way to the head table in Vegas. As for those outside the top 12, McMurray could easily grab a couple of wins – and the points that go with them – in the final 10 with no pressure to do anything but go for broke. | Last year, I didn’t think Johnson could take it all because the odds were against him. I was wrong, but I’m following the same logic again. More importantly, though, I think Hamlin and the No. 11 team have lost enough to know how to win one. However, Edwards has been getting stronger and there could be just enough mile-and-a-half tracks to pick up a few much-needed wins and vault the No. 99 team to that elusive championship. Finally, riding a string of five straight top-five finishes, Montoya is about the only driver outside of the top 12 who is displaying any type of consistent momentum. | |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Bryan Davis Keith | Mike Lovecchio | Beth Lunkenheimer | |
Title | Assistant Editor | Assistant Editor | Assistant Editor | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | No picks submitted | Kurt Busch | |
2nd | Kurt Busch | Jimmie Johnson | ||
3rd | Kyle Busch | Tony Stewart | ||
4th | Jeff Gordon | Kyle Busch | ||
5th | Denny Hamlin | Jeff Gordon | ||
6th | Kevin Harvick | Denny Hamlin | ||
7th | Tony Stewart | Kevin Harvick | ||
8th | Carl Edwards | Carl Edwards | ||
9th | Clint Bowyer | Greg Biffle | ||
10th | Matt Kenseth | Clint Bowyer | ||
11th | Jeff Burton | Matt Kenseth | ||
12th | Greg Biffle | Jeff Burton | ||
Darkhorse Title Pick | Jeff Gordon | Carl Edwards | ||
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Jamie McMurray | Jamie McMurray | ||
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 9 of 12 | 9 of 12 | ||
Why They Picked How They Did | Does anyone out there that isn’t a Johnson fan really think that anything is different this year from the last four? The No. 48 makes the Drive For Five happen. Behind them, the second they win the No. 24 becomes very relevant in this Chase; and between the plate race at Talladega and the Charlotte night race, the No. 1 will be back in victory lane at least one more time this season. | I know I should probably be picking Johnson, since he and the entire No. 48 team tend to wake up right about now each year – but I stand behind my preseason pick of Kurt Busch. Following the late-season improvement last season with Pat Tryson at the helm, Steve Addington walked in and the No. 2 team seemed to pick up right where they left off at the end of 2009. Add in the improvement in the elder Busch brother’s communication style with his crew chief and you’ve got a dynamic duo armed with the mentality to take the trophy at Homestead-Miami. | ||
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | S.D. Grady | Mike Ravesi | Vito Pugliese | |
Title | Assistant Editor | Fantasy Writer | Senior Writer | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | No picks submitted | Jimmie Johnson | |
2nd | Denny Hamlin | Denny Hamlin | ||
3rd | Kevin Harvick | Carl Edwards | ||
4th | Kyle Busch | Kevin Harvick | ||
5th | Jeff Gordon | Greg Biffle | ||
6th | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | ||
7th | Clint Bowyer | Jeff Burton | ||
8th | Kurt Busch | Tony Stewart | ||
9th | Greg Biffle | Kurt Busch | ||
10th | Jeff Burton | Clint Bowyer | ||
11th | Tony Stewart | Matt Kenseth | ||
12th | Matt Kenseth | Kurt Busch | ||
Darkhorse Title Pick | Jeff Gordon | Carl Edwards | ||
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Brad Keselowski | Dale Earnhardt Jr. | ||
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 8 of 12 | 8 of 12 | ||
Why They Picked How They Did | It’s still the Chase, and the Johnson/Knaus juggernaut is about to be brought out of the closet for these last 10 races. Thinking that anybody else has the perfect combination of driver/crew chief/team/equipment is foolish, as has been proven to me repeatedly these past few years. But watch for Keselowski; like a bad penny, he’s gonna end up in the middle of some kind of on-track incident and people will be ticked with him. So goes my rookie’s year. And as for Gordon, hope springs eternal in this No. 24 fan’s heart. | Yeah, big surprise here. Try as NASCAR may to convince everybody that this is the closest Chase field ever – it isn’t. The No. 48 team is still the class of the field, the team to beat and the group who has mastered how to race the Chase to perfection. Make whatever analogies to other sports teams you want; The Indianapolis Colts, Atlanta Braves or Ohio State – but the regular season fades into obscurity when it comes time to line ’em up for the final go round. Hamlin’s No. 11 team has finally come of age and will prove a worthy contender to the No. 48, but there will likely be one small hiccup or miscue that dashes their chances late – very late – in the homestretch. And although Harvick led the points nearly all season, he will prove to be the 2009 Stewart of 2010. Burton will finish seventh because that’s where he runs every week, while Kyle Busch will suffer yet another lackluster Chase appearance. Will there be a darkhorse to come out of this field of 12 and upset the apple cart? In short, no. Edwards could pose a threat with his recent momentum, but I have a hard time believing that we’ve seen everything Jimmie and Chad have to offer that will allow that to be a possibility. Biggest Spoiler? Oh that’s easy, Earnhardt Jr. Why? Either he will win Talladega and single-handedly over-shadow the final three weeks of Chase racing, or his continued descent into irrelevance will continue, again dominating racing coverage of what was supposed to be the closest Chase since the eight-point margin of 2004. Except it won’t be. | ||
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Mike Neff | Jeff Meyer | Matt McLaughlin | |
Title | Senior Writer | Senior Writer | Senior Writer | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | Kevin Harvick | Denny Hamlin | |
2nd | Kyle Busch | Carl Edwards | Jimmie Johnson | |
3rd | Greg Biffle | Jimmie Johnson | Kevin Harvick | |
4th | Tony Stewart | Jeff Gordon | Kyle Busch | |
5th | Kevin Harvick | Tony Stewart | Kurt Busch | |
6th | Denny Hamlin | Jeff Burton | Tony Stewart | |
7th | Kurt Busch | Kurt Busch | Greg Biffle | |
8th | Jeff Burton | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | |
9th | Jeff Gordon | Clint Bowyer | Carl Edwards | |
10th | Carl Edwards | Denny Hamlin | Jeff Burton | |
11th | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
12th | Clint Bowyer | Greg Biffle | Clint Bowyer | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Kurt Busch | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Jamie McMurray | Brad Keselowski | Ryan Newman | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 8 of 12 | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 9 of 12 | |
Why They Picked How They Did | Johnson is still the man to beat. He and Chad Knaus both admitted they were experimenting all summer, and have finally come up with a package that took the best of what worked and discarded the rest. They started working with that package at Atlanta, and how did it turn out? Two straight top-three finishes. Kyle Busch finally seems to have figured out how to bring it home with a quality finish when he can’t win. The rest of the top 12 can end up in just about any order, but Biffle seems like the only Roush car that has actually figured out how to win, which will make him the better of the Roushketeers. Hamlin will have a bad race or two and it will kill the team’s momentum like it always does. Harvick is consistent, but he has been consistent while not winning for most of the year. As for Kurt Busch? No one is calling for him to win it, and that might just set the table for him to sneak in and steal it from the No. 48. Finally, McMurray will have a very good shot at bringing home the win at Talladega and might even snag the checkered flag at Charlotte as well. He’ll most likely end up in 13th if he can eliminate DNFs in the final 10 races. | Why: Why not! Harvick’s been leading all year. Edwards, if he can keep up his consistent top-10 finishes, could be the one with no wins to win it all, thus causing Brian France to replace the Chase with something even more bizarre and inexplicable. But really, if I could pick the finishing order, I’d use that skill for picking Powerball numbers, not something as silly as NASCAR!!!! | I’ve got about three weeks left to ride the bike before winter takes over. No time to bother with this all-singing, all-dancing Chase that should never be. | |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Doug Turnbull | Danny Peters | Kurt Smith | |
Title | Senior Writer | Senior Writer | Senior Writer | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | Jimmie Johnson | Jimmie Johnson | |
2nd | Denny Hamlin | Denny Hamlin | Tony Stewart | |
3rd | Tony Stewart | Kevin Harvick | Carl Edwards | |
4th | Kevin Harvick | Tony Stewart | Kevin Harvick | |
5th | Carl Edwards | Carl Edwards | Denny Hamlin | |
6th | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | Kyle Busch | |
7th | Kurt Busch | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | |
8th | Jeff Gordon | Kurt Busch | Jeff Burton | |
9th | Greg Biffle | Greg Biffle | Kurt Busch | |
10th | Jeff Burton | Clint Bowyer | Greg Biffle | |
11th | Clint Bowyer | Jeff Burton | Matt Kenseth | |
12th | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | Clint Bowyer | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Carl Edwards | Kyle Busch | Carl Edwards | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Jamie McMurray | Jamie McMurray | Jamie McMurray | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 9 of 12 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | |
Why They Picked How They Did | The Sprint Cup is Johnson’s until he loses it. The No. 48 team (along with winner Stewart’s No. 14) aced AMS, the last 1.5-mile track before the Chase. Johnson and crew chief Chad Knaus know the Chase tracks and will own them. If he falters, Hamlin has proven he can run up front consistently and take the point. Stewart’s team is heating up and will surpass Harvick’s classic points system-leading No. 29 team, because Harvick’s nickel-and-dime-but-never-run-up-front method won’t work in the Chase. Edwards is hot lately, but hasn’t proved he can outrun those in front of him. The Busch brothers’ seasons have been too up-and-down to be considered serious threats to the others. The non-Harvick RCR contingency has been mostly invisible this season, while Biffle and Kenseth also have only shown flashes of brilliance at brief times. Second in classic points, Gordon will be the Chase’s biggest disappointment: he has no momentum heading in, and has proven that he can’t close the deal (recalling memories of the ’09 Phillies’ Brad Lidge) late in races. How can he close the deal on a season title then? This year seems to be the title that no one wants to win, because of the lack of laps led and few wins between the two season-long points standings front runners Harvick (three wins, not many laps led) and Gordon (zero wins, more laps led than Harvick) along with bad luck and inconsistency amongst the rest of the field. That makes it easy for the No. 48 to take control. | Simply put: Johnson’s the man until someone steps up and proves otherwise. I’m not convinced anyone else can be consistent enough over the final 10 races – when the pressure’s really on. It should, that said, be a pretty close fight all the way to Homestead. |
Thus far, Johnson has historically stepped it up at this time of year. No disputing that. The No. 48 car is currently the only Hendrick team running consistently well; even in races where he finished poorly, he led quite a few laps. Hamlin’s win at Richmond isn’t enough to convince me he’s going to be as strong – Richmond is a unique track, and there’s no other venues like it. Harvick is running well, but he needs to run better than he’s been in a Chase. Gordon has been falling off the pace and likely won’t recover in time. Stewart and Edwards, I believe, are starting to peak and may steal it. But nobody peaks in the Chase like Johnson. Look for five in a row and more yawning. | |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | John Potts | Jay Pennell | Brock Beard | |
Title | Senior Writer | Contributing Writer | Contributing Writer | |
1st | Tony Stewart | Denny Hamlin | Jimmie Johnson | |
2nd | Jimmie Johnson | Kevin Harvick | Denny Hamlin | |
3rd | Denny Hamlin | Jimmie Johnson | Kurt Busch | |
4th | Kevin Harvick | Tony Stewart | Kevin Harvick | |
5th | Jeff Gordon | Kurt Busch | Kyle Busch | |
6th | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | Jeff Gordon | |
7th | Carl Edwards | Kyle Busch | Tony Stewart | |
8th | Kurt Busch | Carl Edwards | Greg Biffle | |
9th | Greg Biffle | Clint Bowyer | Jeff Burton | |
10th | Matt Kenseth | Greg Biffle | Carl Edwards | |
11th | Clint Bowyer | Jeff Burton | Clint Bowyer | |
12th | Jeff Burton | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | Kurt Busch | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Kyle Busch will spoil someone else’s title | AJ Allmendinger | Jamie McMurray | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 9 of 12 | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | |
Why They Picked How They Did | Don’t like this kind of deal, but gave it my best shot! | Hamlin has simply shown to be too strong throughout the entire year not to be looked at as the favorite, in my opinion. Mechanical failures and simple mistakes have cost this team, but they have proved when they can move past those mistakes they will contend week in and week out. I see Dover and Talladega as the biggest hurdle for this team, and if they can make it through these two events look out. But Gordon is my darkhorse pick because I feel this team is too good to simply write off. They contended for wins at many of the tracks in the Chase earlier this year, and if they can find victory lane, look out. Gordon and the No. 24 bunch are a streaky type of team and when they win once, they typically keep winning. I chose Allmendinger as my spoiler because he now sees himself as the leader of Richard Petty Motorsports and feels he has something to prove. The team was strong in Richmond and his comments after qualifying that weekend showed he is not going to simply lay down for those in the Chase. | Johnson will take the points lead at New Hampshire after a tough battle with Kurt Busch and Hamlin. He will not relinquish it: Game Over. Hamlin will struggle at Dover as he has in the past, but Kyle Busch will take the win after barely getting a top 10 at New Hampshire. From there, I expect these four drivers (48, 2, 11, 18) to break away from the rest of the pack. Kyle will stumble at the mile-and-a-half tracks, where brother Kurt will capitalize to make it a three-car race for the Chase, eliminating Kyle. Kurt will hang on in third like Montoya did last year, but will fall back from a lack of Chase wins. Harvick will recover from an early Chase hiccup to creep into contention, but will only be able to get past Kyle Busch in the last two races. Everyone else in the Chase will struggle to find consistency during the entire 10-race stretch, with Gordon topping them all in sixth thanks to a popular win at Martinsville. McMurray may play spoiler, winning Talladega and possibly Charlotte, given his strong run in the 600. | |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Summer Dreyer | Nick Bromberg | Garrett Horton | |
Title | Contributing Writer | Contributing Writer | Contributing Writer | |
1st | Jimmie Johnson | Tony Stewart | Jimmie Johnson | |
2nd | Denny Hamlin | Kyle Busch | Kevin Harvick | |
3rd | Tony Stewart | Denny Hamlin | Carl Edwards | |
4th | Kyle Busch | Jimmie Johnson | Denny Hamlin | |
5th | Jeff Gordon | Carl Edwards | Clint Bowyer | |
6th | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | Tony Stewart | |
7th | Kevin Harvick | Clint Bowyer | Kurt Busch | |
8th | Kurt Busch | Kevin Harvick | Jeff Gordon | |
9th | Greg Biffle | Greg Biffle | Jeff Burton | |
10th | Clint Bowyer | Kurt Busch | Kyle Busch | |
11th | Jeff Burton | Jeff Burton | Greg Biffle | |
12th | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Carl Edwards | Jeff Gordon | Clint Bowyer | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Jamie McMurray | Joey Logano | Juan Pablo Montoya | |
Why They Picked How They Did | Like most, I refuse to be fooled by this recent talk of Johnson’s “slump.” More than likely, he’s going to win multiple races in the Chase and once again find his way to the top of the standings. Just 10 points behind current points leader Hamlin, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the four, going on five, champion to have the lead after the series leaves Loudon. I do think the Joe Gibbs Racing duo of Hamlin and Kyle Busch could give him a run for his money, but ultimately Johnson is going to be the guy to beat. Edwards and Roush Fenway Racing have shown enough improvement the past few weeks to make me think he could finish in the top five in points. Keep an eye on McMurray, though. His dream season hasn’t ended yet. | I’m taking Stewart because he’s been the best car at the intermediate tracks over the last 10 races, and he and Darian Grubb seem to be trending upwards. If he can be as strong as he was at Martinsville in the past – and I don’t mean the spring – to counteract JJ and Hamlin and avoid trouble at Talladega, he should win the Chase. As for a spoiler, Logano has continued to show consistent improvement. If he can be as consistently fast as the other two Gibbs cars, he could be the guy that everyone takes to make the Chase in 2011. |
While I believe that Johnson will make it five in a row, it appears the competition will be stronger than in years past. Harvick has displayed amazing consistency this season to where if Johnson slips up even once in the Chase, the No. 29 team will capitalize. As for Hamlin, he needs to hope his summer slump doesn’t carry over into the final 10 races and that the mechanical gremlins don’t show up any more this year. But watch out for Bowyer; if he can manage to win early in the Chase, he will be a contender, just like in 2007. Remember, Mark Martin barely squeaked into the Chase last year and finished second in the standings. | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | |
2010 Chase for the Championship Picks | ||||
Expert | Kyle Ocker | Dave Johnson | Matt Carey | |
Title | Contributing Writer | Contributing Writer | Podcast Host | |
1st | Kevin Harvick | Jimmie Johnson | Kyle Busch | |
2nd | Jeff Gordon | Kurt Busch | Jimmie Johnson | |
3rd | Jimmie Johnson | Carl Edwards | Denny Hamlin | |
4th | Denny Hamlin | Tony Stewart | Tony Stewart | |
5th | Kurt Busch | Jeff Gordon | Kevin Harvick | |
6th | Kyle Busch | Kyle Busch | Jeff Gordon | |
7th | Tony Stewart | Kevin Harvick | Carl Edwards | |
8th | Greg Biffle | Denny Hamlin | Clint Bowyer | |
9th | Carl Edwards | Clint Bowyer | Jeff Burton | |
10th | Clint Bowyer | Matt Kenseth | Matt Kenseth | |
11th | Jeff Burton | Jeff Burton | Kurt Busch | |
12th | Matt Kenseth | Greg Biffle | Greg Biffle | |
Darkhorse Title Pick | Jeff Gordon | Kurt Busch | Carl Edwards | |
Spoiler (Best Non-Chaser) | Juan Pablo Montoya | Juan Pablo Montoya | Unsure | |
Correctly Picked How Many Chasers? | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | 0 of 12 (Didn’t Pick) | |
Why They Picked How They Did | Johnson won’t win his fifth straight title this season — just because NASCAR isn’t going to script that into the Chase this year. NASCAR is going to show the old fans that consistency can still win you a title. Also, to again please the older fans, Gordon will finish higher than Johnson, proving the teacher can still race with the student. | I pick Johnson because of the obvious reasons (four in a row, this is their time of year, etc). #2 Kurt Busch through #6 Kyle Busch are a toss-up, but I put them there because of either past championships and/or running well recently. #7 Harvick drops because he’s been Mr. Consistent, and I think hard driving will be favored over consistent driving. The shock of not being talked about will throw them. #8 Hamlin, just don’t see it happening. And the rest are just happy to have made the Chase. They’ve been quiet, and will stay that way. I picked Kurt Busch as a darkhorse because he’s a past champion, has a win at a Chase track this year and seems a little calmer than Edwards. The spoiler, though, is Montoya. He’s got nothing to lose, can get aggressive… what a time for a first oval win. | Despite a season on which is wasn’t “dominant” Jimmie is still the man to beat. This season, however, is the year to challenge the four-time champion. Kyle Busch is aggressive, hungry and a winner. This is his year to win it all. I think Kyle seals the deal at Homestead-Miami after winning three of the 10 Chase races. |
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